What is the probability “Diddy” is said on World News Tonight next time?

37%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.

Will “Diddy” be said on World News Tonight next time?

Name: World News Tonight: “Diddy” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Diddy” was not said on World News Tonight in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 12, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 2. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 23, 2026) is not counted.

37%from settlement history only · n=2counts: any host or reporter

Last 10: 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak: not said the last 2 times
Counts: any host or reporter

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 00:32 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

ABC World News Tonight

Diddy

Probability: 37% · n=2
Settled: 0/2 (0%)
Last 8 episodes: said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: any host or reporter

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledreporterABC World News Tonight, October 16, 2026 · Oct 16, 2026 · 2:10In transcript

tonight, Sean Diddy Combs is being transferred to a new federal prison. What's behind this move? Billy Joel's health battle tonight, this question, will he…

Speaker not labelledreporterABC World News Tonight, October 12, 2026 · Oct 12, 2026 · 2:17In transcript

Sean Diddy Combs rushed from prison to the hospital. What we know, the horrific scene at the zoo, a man mauled by a tiger. How…