What is the probability “Speech / Address” is said on World News Tonight next time?

39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: the host.

Will “Speech / Address” be said on World News Tonight next time?

Name: World News Tonight: “Speech / Address” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Speech / Address” was not said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 15, 2026.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: the host

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 21:55 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

ABC World News Tonight

Speech / Address

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 0/1 (0%)

Next listing counts: the host

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledreporterABC World News Tonight, October 19, 2026 · Oct 19, 2026 · 4:05In transcript

speech would be and had mapped out rooftops in the area. He was arrested on Saturday. It comes with the election just two weeks away.…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Speaker not labelledreporterABC World News Tonight, October 15, 2026 · Oct 15, 2026 · 22:03In transcript

Sync your contacts into the address book, get detailed accounting insights, and get notified the moment your certified mail is delivered. All from my desk.…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Speaker not labelledreporterABC World News Tonight, October 14, 2026 · Oct 14, 2026 · 8:40In transcript

…to 911 from the Greenville, South Carolina apartment where Hayden Panettiere was found unresponsive. Oh, my God. EMS fire. What's the address of your emergency?

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.