Will “Stockpile” be said on Face the Nation next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Stockpile” was not said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 4, 2026.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Face the Nation
Stockpile
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 0 of 2 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…to defend against those attacks, adding to concerns over the rapidly declining stockpile of missiles, among other types of precision munitions. 60 Minutes correspondent Norah…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…ordered. This includes combatant commanders. They're looking for who leaked the highly classified details about the nation's stockpiles of sophisticated weapons. This is extremely rare.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Stockpile |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Stockpile” said on Face the Nation?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Stockpile” was not said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 4, 2026.
- What is the probability “Stockpile” is said on Face the Nation next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Stockpile’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/stockpile (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=stockpile · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP