What is the probability “Sanction / Tariff” is said on Face the Nation next time?

45%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will “Sanction / Tariff” be said on Face the Nation next time?

Name: Face the Nation: “Sanction / Tariff” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Sanction / Tariff” was said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 30, 2026.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 01:45 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Face the Nation

Sanction / Tariff

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 8 episodes: said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will John Kennedy say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Richard Blumenthal say during Face the Nation? · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

4 counted; 7 by speakers the rule does not count.

Richard BlumenthalguestIn transcript

…it a homework assignment that he gave me, number one, the Russian sanctions bill, number two, air defense to protect against exactly the kind of…

Richard BlumenthalguestIn transcript

…days. And it has increased authority for the president to impose scorching sanctions on the oligarchs, the financial institutions. It has measures to crack down…

Every match in the transcript

What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Lindsey Graham say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during Face the Nation? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result	Our count
Aug 30, 2026	Sanction / Tariff	Kalshi	Yes	4

Questions

How often is “Sanction / Tariff” said on Face the Nation?: As of Oct 25, 2026, “Sanction / Tariff” was said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 30, 2026.
What is the probability “Sanction / Tariff” is said on Face the Nation next time?: 45%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Sanction / Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/sanction-or-tariff (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=sanction%20%2F%20tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP