What is the probability “Europe / European” is said on Face the Nation next time?

47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will “Europe / European” be said on Face the Nation next time?

Name: Face the Nation: “Europe / European” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Europe / European” was said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 4, 2026.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 6, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 26, 2026, 09:21 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Face the Nation

Europe / European

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 8 episodes: said in 1 of 2 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · said 3 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

3 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Chris WrightguestIn transcript

It's a big deal. It's a big deal. Europe has very large diesel stores. They – you know, they don't refine enough diesel to supply…

Chris WrightguestIn transcript

…prices, not just in the United States, but it lowers them in Europe and around the world. But it will drive diesel prices down as…

Every match in the transcript

What will John Kennedy say during Face the Nation? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Richard Blumenthal say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Lindsey Graham say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result	Our count
Oct 4, 2026	Europe / European	Kalshi	Yes	3

Questions

How often is “Europe / European” said on Face the Nation?: As of Oct 26, 2026, “Europe / European” was said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 4, 2026.
What is the probability “Europe / European” is said on Face the Nation next time?: 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Europe / European’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/europe-or-european (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=europe%20%2F%20european · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP