Will “Self Defense / Defending” be said on Face the Nation next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Self Defense / Defending” was not said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 19, 2026.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Face the Nation

Self Defense / Defending

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

REPRESENTATIVE MIKE TURNERotherFace the Nation (CBS), October 18, 2026 · Oct 18, 2026In transcript

This is essential to the United States' support of Ukraine in defending real aggressive attacks by Russia within Ukraine. And this needs to be restored.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

GENERAL HAIBATULLAH ALIZAIotherFace the Nation (CBS), August 30, 2026 · Aug 30, 2026In transcript

…did fight. As I've been saying, we lost a hundred thousand soldiers defending the country and the world from terrorists. The collapse did not come…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will John Kennedy say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Richard Blumenthal say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Lindsey Graham say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jan 19, 2026Self Defense / DefendingKalshiNo0

Questions

How often is “Self Defense / Defending” said on Face the Nation?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Self Defense / Defending” was not said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 19, 2026.
What is the probability “Self Defense / Defending” is said on Face the Nation next time?
41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Self Defense / Defending’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/defending-or-self-defense (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=defending%20%2F%20self%20defense · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP