Will “California” be said on Face the Nation next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “California” was said on Face the Nation in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 10, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.

47%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=california

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Face the Nation

California

Probability
47% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 2 of 2 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: named speaker only

1 counted.

Chris WrightguestIn transcript

…we're living with two refineries that were recently closed, large refineries in California that Gavin Newsom forced the closure of, and, frankly, 15 years of…

What will John Kennedy say during Face the Nation? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Richard Blumenthal say during Face the Nation? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Lindsey Graham say during Face the Nation? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Dr. Oz say during Face the Nation? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 4, 2026CaliforniaKalshiYes1
May 10, 2026CaliforniaKalshiNo0

Questions

How often is “California” said on Face the Nation?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “California” was said on Face the Nation in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 10, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 4, 2026.
What is the probability “California” is said on Face the Nation next time?
47%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘California’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/california (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=california · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP