Will “Blockade” be said on Face the Nation next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Blockade” was said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 10, 2026.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Face the Nation
Blockade
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 0 of 2 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted.
…government in the country losing their main export revenues because of our blockade, but also Economic – our Economic Fury operation that we launched starting…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Blockade |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often is “Blockade” said on Face the Nation?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Blockade” was said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 10, 2026.
- What is the probability “Blockade” is said on Face the Nation next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Blockade’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/blockade (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=blockade · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP