Will “Khamenei / Ayatollah” be said on Face the Nation next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Khamenei / Ayatollah” was said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 2, 2026.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Mar 1, 2026
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Face the Nation
Khamenei / Ayatollah
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…table, we can stop the war right now if Hamas says yes. Khamenei, supreme leader of Iran, gives a defiant speech praising October 7th, and…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | Khamenei / Ayatollah |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often is “Khamenei / Ayatollah” said on Face the Nation?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Khamenei / Ayatollah” was said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 2, 2026.
- What is the probability “Khamenei / Ayatollah” is said on Face the Nation next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Khamenei / Ayatollah’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/ayatollah-or-khamenei (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=ayatollah%20%2F%20khamenei · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP