Will “Assassinate / Assassination” be said on Face the Nation next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Assassinate / Assassination” was not said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 2, 2026.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Face the Nation
Assassinate / Assassination
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…what was done. Hypothetically speaking, let's say in Iran they want to assassinate. From the standpoint of the government, if that was were what we…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…for Americans to disagree better. You write about the hours after the assassination of Charlie Kirk, and you urged Americans to find an off- ramp,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | Assassinate / Assassination |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Assassinate / Assassination” said on Face the Nation?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Assassinate / Assassination” was not said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 2, 2026.
- What is the probability “Assassinate / Assassination” is said on Face the Nation next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Assassinate / Assassination’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/assassinate-or-assassination (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=assassinate%20%2F%20assassination · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP