Will “ICE / Border” be said on All In next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “ICE / Border” was said on All In in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 21, 2026.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

All In with Chris Hayes

ICE / Border

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

HSBC, Leaffilter, Miracle-Ear, Febreze, Noom ad breakotherAll In with Chris Hayes (MS NOW), September 21, 2026 · Sep 21, 2026 · 18:58In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

ads and promosotherAll In with Chris Hayes (MS NOW), September 14, 2026 · Sep 14, 2026 · 51:49In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Susan CollinsotherAll In with Chris Hayes (MS NOW), August 24, 2026 · Aug 24, 2026 · 6:05In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Jamie Raskin say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Raphael Warnock say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Andy Beshear say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Cory Booker say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Elizabeth Warren say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Beto O'Rourke say during All in with Chris Hayes? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will James Talarico say during MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Elizabeth Warren say during All in with Chris Hayes? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during All in with Chris Hayes? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 21, 2026ICE / BorderKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “ICE / Border” said on All In?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “ICE / Border” was said on All In in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 21, 2026.
What is the probability “ICE / Border” is said on All In next time?
48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “All In: ‘ICE / Border’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/all-in-with-chris-hayes/words/border-or-ice (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=border%20%2F%20ice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP