What is the probability “Soft Landing” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?

8%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.

Will “Soft Landing” be said at the next FOMC press conference?

Name: FOMC press conference: “Soft Landing” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Soft Landing” was not said at the FOMC press conference on any of the 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 8% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 0.

8%from settlement history only · n=10counts: role: fed chair

Last 10: 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
Streak: not said the last 10 times
Counts: role: fed chair

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 06:14 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

FOMC press conference

Soft Landing

Probability: 8% · n=10
Settled: 0/10 (0%)
Last 8 press conferences: said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: role: fed chair

What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Powell say during his April press conference? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Powell say during his March press conference? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Powell say during his January press conference? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Powell say during his Dec 2025 press conference? · settled no

Open the appearance

What Will Powell Say During His October Press Conference? · not said

Open the appearance

What will be said say during FED board meeting on Oct 24? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Powell say during his Sep 2025 press conference? · not said

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 10 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result	Our count
Apr 29, 2026	Soft Landing	Kalshi	No	0
Mar 18, 2026	Soft Landing	Kalshi	No	0
Jan 28, 2026	Soft Landing	Kalshi	No	0
Dec 10, 2025	Soft Landing	Kalshi	No	–
Oct 29, 2025	Soft Landing	Kalshi	No	0
Sep 17, 2025	Soft Landing	Kalshi	No	0
Jun 18, 2025	Soft Landing	Kalshi	No	0
May 8, 2025	Soft landing	Kalshi	No	–
Mar 19, 2025	Soft Landing	Polymarket	No	0
Mar 17, 2025	Soft landing	Kalshi	No	–

Questions

How often is “Soft Landing” said at the FOMC press conference?: As of Oct 24, 2026, “Soft Landing” was not said at the FOMC press conference on any of the 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 17, 2025.
What is the probability “Soft Landing” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?: 8%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.

Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Soft Landing’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/soft-landing (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=soft%20landing · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP