Will “Energy” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Energy” was said at the FOMC press conference on 5 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 17, 2025 (100%), most recently on Sep 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 73% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 8.
- Last 10
- 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- role: fed chair
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Energy
- Probability
- 73% · n=5
- Settled
- 5/5 (100%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: role: fed chair
Counts: role: fed chair
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…12 months ending in August and that, excluding the volatile food and energy categories, core PCE prices rose 2.9 percent. These readings are higher than…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “Energy” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Energy” was said at the FOMC press conference on 5 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 17, 2025 (100%), most recently on Sep 17, 2025.
- What is the probability “Energy” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 73%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Energy’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/energy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=energy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP