Will “Crypto / Cryptocurrency” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Crypto / Cryptocurrency” was not said at the FOMC press conference on any of the 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 9% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 6 times
- Counts
- role: fed chair
- Market
- 3¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Crypto / Cryptocurrency
- Probability
- 9% · n=6
- Settled
- 0/6 (0%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: role: fed chair
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Crypto / Cryptocurrency |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Crypto / Cryptocurrency |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Crypto / Cryptocurrency | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Crypto / Cryptocurrency | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Crypto / Cryptocurrency | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 8, 2025 | Crypto / Cryptocurrency | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 17, 2025 | Crypto / Cryptocurrency | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Crypto / Cryptocurrency” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Crypto / Cryptocurrency” was not said at the FOMC press conference on any of the 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 17, 2025.
- What is the probability “Crypto / Cryptocurrency” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 9%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Crypto / Cryptocurrency’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/crypto-or-cryptocurrency (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=crypto%20%2F%20cryptocurrency · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP