Will “Trump” be said on Grammys next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said on Grammys in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 7, 2025 (100%), most recently on Feb 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
52%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Grammys
Trump
- Probability
- 52% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Grammys yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “Trump” said on Grammys?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said on Grammys in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 7, 2025 (100%), most recently on Feb 2, 2026.
- What is the probability “Trump” is said on Grammys next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Grammys: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/grammys/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=grammys&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=grammys&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP