Grammys: Awards show, Nov 7, 2025

Fri, Nov 7Awards showHistory onlyGrammys

Updated

Markets

14 words · 7 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Billie Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Epstein Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
ICE Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Justin Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Super Bowl Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Taylor Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Bitcoin No–new new word, no probability yet–
Disney No–new new word, no probability yet–
Gay / Queer No–new new word, no probability yet–
Gender No–new new word, no probability yet–
Oscars No–new new word, no probability yet–
The Chicks No–new new word, no probability yet–
Polymarket open–50¢ Polymarket

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-the-grammys · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP