Grammys: Awards show, Feb 2, 2026
Kalshi What will Trevor Noah say during the Grammy Awards?
Markets
12 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Epstein | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto / Crypto.com | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kendrick | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lady / Gaga | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drake | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kanye / Ye / Yeezy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ozempic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Slap / Slaps / Slapped | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Taylor Swift | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXAWARDMENTION-26FEB02 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP