Ciara Miller
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 42 word markets on Ciara Miller’s appearances since 2026, on 16 different words.
History Wall
1–16 of 16, most settled first| Word | Jun 6episode | Jun 20episode | Jul 11latest | Last 3 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiss / Kissed | Settled yes: Kiss / Kissed, Jun 6 episode | Settled yes: Kiss / Kissed, Jun 20 episode | Settled yes: Kiss / Kissed, Jul 11 episode | 3/3100% | 3/3100% | – |
| Bombshell | Settled yes: Bombshell, Jun 6 episode | Settled yes: Bombshell, Jun 20 episode | Settled no: Bombshell, Jul 11 episode | 2/367% | 2/367% | – |
| Casa Amor | Settled no: Casa Amor, Jun 6 episode | Settled yes: Casa Amor, Jun 20 episode | Settled yes: Casa Amor, Jul 11 episode | 2/367% | 2/367% | – |
| Exclusive | Settled yes: Exclusive, Jun 6 episode | Settled no: Exclusive, Jun 20 episode | Settled yes: Exclusive, Jul 11 episode | 2/367% | 2/367% | – |
| Twitter / Social Media | Settled yes: Twitter / Social Media, Jun 6 episode | Settled yes: Twitter / Social Media, Jun 20 episode | Settled no: Twitter / Social Media, Jul 11 episode | 2/367% | 2/367% | – |
| Drama | Settled no: Drama, Jun 6 episode | Settled no: Drama, Jun 20 episode | Settled yes: Drama, Jul 11 episode | 1/333% | 1/333% | – |
| Peacock | Settled yes: Peacock, Jun 6 episode | Settled no: Peacock, Jun 20 episode | Settled no: Peacock, Jul 11 episode | 1/333% | 1/333% | – |
| Red Flag | Settled yes: Red Flag, Jun 6 episode | Settled no: Red Flag, Jun 20 episode | Settled no: Red Flag, Jul 11 episode | 1/333% | 1/333% | – |
| Triangle | Settled no: Triangle, Jun 6 episode | Settled yes: Triangle, Jun 20 episode | Settled no: Triangle, Jul 11 episode | 1/333% | 1/333% | – |
| Awkward | Settled no: Awkward, Jun 6 episode | Settled no: Awkward, Jun 20 episode | Settled no: Awkward, Jul 11 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | – |
| Fan Favorite | Settled no: Fan Favorite, Jun 6 episode | Settled no: Fan Favorite, Jun 20 episode | Settled no: Fan Favorite, Jul 11 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | – |
| Jealous / Jealousy | Settled no: Jealous / Jealousy, Jun 6 episode | Settled no: Jealous / Jealousy, Jun 20 episode | Settled no: Jealous / Jealousy, Jul 11 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | – |
| Vote / Voter | Settled no: Vote / Voter, Jun 6 episode | Settled yes: Vote / Voter, Jun 20 episode | Not listed: Vote / Voter, Jul 11 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | – |
| Ick | Settled no: Ick, Jun 6 episode | Settled no: Ick, Jun 20 episode | Not listed: Ick, Jul 11 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | – |
| Movie Night | Not listed: Movie Night, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Movie Night, Jun 20 episode | Settled yes: Movie Night, Jul 11 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Vote / Voted | Not listed: Vote / Voted, Jun 6 episode | Not listed: Vote / Voted, Jun 20 episode | Settled no: Vote / Voted, Jul 11 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 3Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will the hosts say during Love Island Aftersun? | no transcript | 14 | 5 yes · 9 no | – |
| Jun 20, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will the hosts say during Love Island Aftersun? | no transcript | 14 | 6 yes · 8 no | – |
| Jun 6, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will the hosts say during Love Island Aftersun? | no transcript | 14 | 6 yes · 8 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Ciara Miller: mention market word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/ciara-miller (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/ciara-miller · words: /api/v1/history?entity=ciara-miller · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP