Will Amazon say “Iran / Middle East”?
Amazon said “Iran / Middle East” 1 time on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Amazon said “Iran / Middle East” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 42¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Amazon
Iran / Middle East
- Probability
- 41% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…heightened transportation costs driven by fuel inflation from the conflict in the Middle East and higher line haul rates from driver capacity limitations. Excluding the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Iran / Middle East |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How many times did Amazon say “Iran / Middle East” on its last earnings call?
- Amazon said “Iran / Middle East” 1 time on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1 times.
- How often does Amazon say “Iran / Middle East”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Amazon said “Iran / Middle East” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Amazon says “Iran / Middle East” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Amazon: ‘Iran / Middle East’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AMZN/words/iran-or-middle-east (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=amazon&word=iran%20%2F%20middle%20east · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=amazon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP