Amazon (AMZN): FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026

Wed, Apr 29Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptAmazon

On its Apr 29, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q1), Amazon said 12 of the 17 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 16 of 17 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

17 words · 12 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 17

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
OpenAI Yes910✓52%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Rufus Yes810✓81%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Prime Day Yes44✓67%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Gen-AI / Generative AI Yes33✓94%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Silicon Yes34✓88%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Alexa+ / Alexa Plus Yes22✓87%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Data Center Yes23✓82%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Live Sports Yes22✓81%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Robotic / Robotics Yes11✓91%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tariff Yes11✓89%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Third Party Sellers Yes11✓64%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Supply Chain Yes12✓27%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Sponsored Products No11✗71%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Project Kuiper No00✓59%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
China No00✓41%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
RxPass No00✓14%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Drone No00✓12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

Where the listed words were said

Andrew Jassycompany“OpenAI” · prepared

…tokens in Q1 than all prior years combined. We're excited to make OpenAI's models available in Bedrock. Yesterday, we added OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model with 5.5…

Andrew Jassycompany“Rufus” · prepared

…managing prescriptions to facilitating medical treatment with a real One Medical provider. Rufus, our agentic AI shopping assistant continues to resonate with customers. Rufus can…

Andrew Jassycompany“Prime Day” · prepared

…products offered on Amazon.com decreased compared to the same period last year. Prime Day will take place in most countries in June, which will bring…

Brian Olsavskycompany“Gen-AI / Generative AI” · prepared

…CapEx was $43.2 billion in Q1. This primarily relates to AWS and generative AI as we invest to support strong customer demand. We will continue…

Andrew Jassycompany“Silicon” · prepared

…would be $50 billion. As best as we can tell, our custom silicon business is now one of the top 3 data center chip businesses…

Andrew Jassycompany“Alexa+ / Alexa Plus” · prepared

…Tournament with total viewership up 18% compared to last year on cable. Alexa+ early access expanded to millions more Prime members in Mexico, the U.K.,…

Andrew Jassycompany“Data Center” · prepared

…CapEx investments fund assets with many year useful lives, 30-plus years for data centers, 5 to 6 years for chips, servers and networking gear. The…

Brian Olsavskycompany“Live Sports” · prepared

…of new member acquisition. Our investments in original and exclusive content and live sports, combined with our third-party partner titles, offer the best selection of…

Brian Olsavskycompany“Robotic / Robotics” · prepared

…touches per package and improve consolidation rates. Alongside these efforts, we deploy robotics and automation, which have been integral to our operations for decades. Our…

Dave Fildescompany“Tariff” · prepared

…exchange rates and energy prices, changes in global economic and geopolitical conditions, tariff and trade policies, resource and supply volatility, including for memory chips and…

Brian Olsavskycompany“Third Party Sellers” · prepared

…including our Big Spring Sale. We also saw particularly strong performance for third-party sellers who are important contributors to our broad selection and competitive pricing.…

Andrew Jassycompany“Supply Chain” · qa

So on memory and storage and the supply chain, I think everybody knows that the cost of these components, particularly memory has skyrocketed. And we're…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/amazon:2026-04-29:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=amazon:2026-04-29:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP