# ESPYS (espys) · awards 2025-07-17 · 8 words · P p:what-will-shane-gillis-say-during-espys-opening-monologue · as_of 2026-10-26T06:31:56Z
# scope P anyone · n/y settled before 2025-07-17 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v P, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-shane-gillis-say-during-espys-opening-monologue (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned during this event.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Epstein	epstein	1	1	1	Y	0.49	yes
Bieber	bieber	1	0	0	n	0.49	no
Football	football	1	0	0	n	0.49	no
Freak	freak	1	0	0	n	0.49	no
LeBron	lebron	1	0	0	n	0.49	no
Philadelphia	philadelphia	1	0	0	n	0.49	no
Gay	gay	0	0			0.49	no
Retard/retarded	retard|retarded	0	0			0.49	no