# Oscars (oscars) · awards 2026-03-15 · 31 words · P p:what-will-be-said-during-the-oscars · as_of 2026-10-24T20:54:33Z
# scope P anyone · n/y settled before 2026-03-15 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-be-said-during-the-oscars (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the scheduled broadcast of the Oscars on ABC.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Epstein	epstein	1	2	0	0	nn	0.31	hist	no
Trump	trump	1	2	0	0	nn	0.31	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Alien	alien	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Anthropic / Claude	anthropic|claude	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Ballet	ballet	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Chalamet 5+ times	chalamet#5	5	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Charlie Kirk	charlie kirk	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Dream Big	dream big	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Ellison	ellison	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Elon	elon	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Greenland	greenland	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Hottest	hottest	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Ice Out / Fuck Ice	fuck ice|ice out	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Kylie	kylie	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Leo	leo	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Middle East	middle east	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Mom	mom	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Netflix	netflix	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Opera	opera	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Palestine	palestine	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Peace	peace	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Polymarket	polymarket	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
President	president	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Sex	sex	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Shame	shame	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Ukraine	ukraine	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no
White House	white house	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Will Smith / Punch	punch|will smith	1	0	0			0.37	prior	yes
Zionist / Zionism	zionism|zionist	1	0	0			0.37	prior	no