# Winter Olympics (winter-olympics) · game 2026-02-24 · 18 words · K k:KXWOMENTION-26MAR04 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:41:47Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-02-24 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWOMENTION-26MAR04 ({word} = w of K rows): If play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Olympics Men's Ice Hockey: USA vs Canada, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Captain	captain	8	8	1	YYYYYYYY	0.86	yes
Glass	glass	10	9	0.9	YnYYYYYYYY	0.8	yes
Overtime	overtime	10	9	0.9	YnYYYYYYYY	0.8	yes
First Time / First Timer	first time|first timer	9	8	0.89	YYnYYYYYY	0.78	yes
Comeback / Come back	come back|comeback	10	8	0.8	YnnYYYYYYY	0.72	yes
Crowd / Crowded	crowd|crowded	8	6	0.75	YnYYYYnY	0.67	yes
Fight / Fighting	fight|fighting	10	7	0.7	YYnYYYYnnY	0.64	yes
Shootout	shootout	10	7	0.7	YYYnYYYYnn	0.64	yes
Shutout	shutout	10	7	0.7	YYYYnYYYnn	0.64	no
NHL	nhl	13	9	0.69	YYYYYnnYYn	0.64	yes
Short Side	short side	10	6	0.6	YYnnYYnnYY	0.57	yes
Minnesota	minnesota	5	3	0.6	YYnnY	0.56	yes
What a Save	what a save	5	2	0.4	YnnYn	0.44	yes
Veteran	veteran	10	3	0.3	YnnnnnYYnn	0.35	no
What a Goal / What a Shot	what a goal|what a shot	11	2	0.18	nnnnnnnnYY	0.25	no
Miracle on Ice	miracle on ice	9	1	0.11	nnnnnnnnY	0.21	yes
Hat Trick	hat trick	10	1	0.1	nnYnnnnnnn	0.2	no
Heated Rivalry	heated rivalry	7	0	0	nnnnnnn	0.15	no