# Taylor Swift (taylor-swift) · interview 2025-10-14 · 24 words · K k:KXSWIFTMENTION-25OCT14 · as_of 2026-10-24T19:10:00Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-10-14 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSWIFTMENTION-25OCT14 ({word} = w of K rows): If Taylor Swift says {word} as part of Good Morning America on October 13th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Era	era	4	4	1	YYYY	0.75	hist	yes
Tour	tour	4	4	1	YYYY	0.75	hist	yes
Bread	bread	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	no
Engagement / Engaged	engaged|engagement	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	no
Poet	poet	4	2	0.5	YYnn	0.35	hist	no
Wedding	wedding	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.28	hist	no
New Album	new album	1	0	0	n	0.19	hist	no
Bad Bunny	bad bunny	2	0	0	nn	0.14	hist	no
Deluxe	deluxe	2	0	0	nn	0.14	hist	no
NFL	nfl	2	0	0	nn	0.14	hist	no
Sabrina Carpenter	sabrina carpenter	2	0	0	nn	0.14	hist	no
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	2	0	0	nn	0.14	hist	no
Cat	cat	3	0	0	nnn	0.11	hist	no
Egg	egg	3	0	0	nnn	0.11	hist	no
Grammy	grammy	3	0	0	nnn	0.11	hist	no
Pregnant / Pregnancy	pregnancy|pregnant	3	0	0	nnn	0.11	hist	no
Ring	ring	3	0	0	nnn	0.11	hist	no
The Life of a Showgirl	the life of a showgirl	3	0	0	nnn	0.11	hist	yes
Kelce	kelce	4	0	0	nnnn	0.1	hist	no
Trump	trump	4	0	0	nnnn	0.1	hist	no
Documentary	documentary	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Fan	fan	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Part 2 / Part Two	part 2|part two	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Sourdough	sourdough	0	0			0.29	prior	no