# Taylor Swift (taylor-swift) · tv_episode 2025-10-09 · 27 words · K k:KXSWIFTMENTION-25OCT09 · as_of 2026-10-25T11:01:33Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-10-09 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSWIFTMENTION-25OCT09 ({word} = w of K rows): If Taylor Swift says {word} as part of Late Night With Seth Meyers, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Tour	tour	3	3	1	YYY	0.76	hist	yes
Era	era	3	3	1	YYY	0.75	hist	yes
Poet	poet	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.5	hist	no
Wedding	wedding	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.42	hist	no
Engage / Engaged	engage|engaged	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.29	hist	no
22	22	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
Abigail	abigail	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
Bad Bunny	bad bunny	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
Deluxe	deluxe	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
James / Comey	comey|jame	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
Midnight	midnight	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
NFL	nfl	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
Sabrina Carpenter	sabrina carpenter	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
Sydney / Sweeney	sweeney|sydney	1	0	0	n	0.21	hist	no
Cat	cat	2	0	0	nn	0.16	hist	no
Egg	egg	2	0	0	nn	0.16	hist	no
Grammy	grammy	2	0	0	nn	0.16	hist	no
Pregnant / Pregnancy	pregnancy|pregnant	2	0	0	nn	0.16	hist	no
Ring	ring	2	0	0	nn	0.16	hist	no
The Life of a Showgirl	the life of a showgirl	2	0	0	nn	0.16	hist	no
Breakup / Break Up	break up|breakup	3	0	0	nnn	0.13	hist	no
Kelce	kelce	3	0	0	nnn	0.13	hist	no
Trump	trump	3	0	0	nnn	0.13	hist	no
Bread	bread	0	0			0.34	prior	yes
New Album	new album	0	0			0.34	prior	no