# Saturday Night Live (saturday-night-live) · tv_episode 2026-05-09 · 11 words · K k:KXSNLMENTION-26MAY09 · as_of 2026-10-24T11:39:45Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-09 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSNLMENTION-26MAY09 ({word} = w of K rows): If Matt Damon says {word} as part of SNL opening monologue , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src
Mayor / Mamdani	mamdani|mayor	4	0	0	nnnn	0.16	hist
Trump	trump	18	5	0.28	nnnnnnnnnn	0.15	hist
Ben Affleck / Affleck	affleck|ben affleck	0	0			0.28	prior
Boston / Cambridge	boston|cambridge	0	0			0.28	prior
Christopher Nolan	christopher nolan	0	0			0.28	prior
Good Will Hunting	good will hunting	0	0			0.28	prior
Interstellar	interstellar	0	0			0.28	prior
Jason Bourne / Bourne	bourne|jason bourne	0	0			0.28	prior
Jimmy Kimmel	jimmy kimmel	0	0			0.28	prior
Odysseus	odysseus	0	0			0.28	prior
Oppenheimer	oppenheimer	0	0			0.28	prior