# Saturday Night Live (saturday-night-live) · tv_episode 2026-03-01 · 11 words · K k:KXSNLMENTION-26MAR01 · as_of 2026-10-24T09:13:10Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-01 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSNLMENTION-26MAR01 ({word} = w of K rows): If Connor Storrie says {word} as part of Saturday Night Live opening monologue, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
New York City	new york city	10	2	0.2	nnnYnYnnnn	0.2	hist	no
Trump	trump	14	5	0.36	YYnnnnnnnn	0.19	hist	no
Canada / Canadian	canada|canadian	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Skate / Skated / Skating	skate|skated|skating	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Clown	clown	0	0			0.26	prior	no
Heated Rivalry	heated rivalry	0	0			0.26	prior	yes
Olympic / Olympics	olympic	0	0			0.26	prior	yes
Season 2	season 2	0	0			0.26	prior	no
Shane / Ilya	ilya|shane	0	0			0.26	prior	no
HBO	hbo	0	0			0.21	prior	yes