# Saturday Night Live (saturday-night-live) · tv_episode 2025-10-04 · 23 words · K k:KXSNLMENTION-25OCT04 · P p:what-will-bad-bunny-say-during-saturday-night-live-on-october-4 · as_of 2026-10-24T20:08:37Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-10-04 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSNLMENTION-25OCT04 ({word} = w of K rows): If Bad Bunny says {word} as part of Saturday Night Live starting on October 4th, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-bad-bunny-say-during-saturday-night-live-on-october-4 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bad Bunny says the listed term at any point during this episode.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	p	res
Acting	acting	1	K	0	0		0.31	no
Cardi	cardi	1	P	0	0		0.31	no
Charlie / Kirk	charlie|kirk	1	K	0	0		0.31	no
Comedian	comedian	1	K	0	0		0.31	no
Crazy	crazy	1	K	0	0		0.31	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	K	0	0		0.31	no
Doja / Cat 2+ times	cat|doja#2	2	P	0	0		0.31	yes
Halftime	halftime	1	K	0	0		0.31	yes
ICE	ice	1	KP	0	0		0.31	no
Island of Garbage	island of garbage	1	K	0	0		0.31	no
Kristi / Noem	kristi|noem	1	P	0	0		0.31	no
Latino / Immigrant	immigrant|latino	1	P	0	0		0.31	yes
Nervous	nervous	1	K	0	0		0.31	yes
Nicki / Minaj	minaj|nicki	1	P	0	0		0.31	no
Puerto Rico	puerto rico	1	P	0	0		0.31	yes
Singer	singer	1	K	0	0		0.31	no
Spanish	spanish	1	P	0	0		0.31	yes
Super Bowl	super bowl	1	KP	0	0		0.31	yes
Surprise	surprise	1	K	0	0		0.31	no
Taylor / Swift	swift|taylor	1	KP	0	0		0.31	no
Tony	tony	1	K	0	0		0.31	no
Tour	tour	1	P	0	0		0.31	no
Trump	trump	1	KP	0	0		0.31	no