# Saturday Night Live (saturday-night-live) · tv_episode 2025-12-14 · 10 words · K k:KXSNLMENTION-25DEC14 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:01:42Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-14 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSNLMENTION-25DEC14 ({word} = w of K rows): If Josh O'Connor says {word} as part of Saturday Night Live starting on December 13th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
New York City	new york city	6	2	0.33	nnnYnY	0.38	hist	no
Trump	trump	9	5	0.56	nYYYYYnnn	0.36	hist	no
TikTok	tiktok	2	0	0	nn	0.2	hist	no
Accent / British	accent|british	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Brilliant	brilliant	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Christmas	christma	0	0			0.29	prior	yes
Prince	prince	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Rat	rat	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Tennis	tennis	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Zendaya	zendaya	0	0			0.29	prior	no