US Supreme Court: Hearing, Mar 23, 2026
Kalshi What will the Supreme Court say during the Mail in Ballot hearing?
Markets
11 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: any justice Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Congress / Congressional | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Constitutional / Constitution / Unconstitutional | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Deadline | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election Day | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Military | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mississippi | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Postal Service | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| 2020 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Covid / Pandemic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSCOTUSMENTION-26MAR23 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP