# US Supreme Court (us-supreme-court) · hearing 2026-03-23 · 11 words · K k:KXSCOTUSMENTION-26MAR23 · as_of 2026-10-26T05:56:04Z
# scope K any_justice · n/y settled before 2026-03-23 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSCOTUSMENTION-26MAR23 ({word} = w of K rows): If any Supreme Court Justice says {word} as part of Oral Arguments of WATSON V. RNC, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
2020	2020	0	0		0.44	no
Congress / Congressional	congress|congressional	0	0		0.44	yes
Constitutional / Constitution / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	0	0		0.44	yes
Covid / Pandemic	covid|pandemic	0	0		0.44	no
Deadline	deadline	0	0		0.44	yes
Election Day	election day	0	0		0.44	yes
Fraud	fraud	0	0		0.44	yes
Military	military	0	0		0.44	yes
Mississippi	mississippi	0	0		0.44	yes
Postal Service	postal service	0	0		0.44	yes
Trump	trump	0	0		0.44	no