Bill Gates: Interview, Sep 21, 2026
Kalshi What will Bill Gates say during CBS Mornings?
Markets
12 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Farmer / Farming | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Job / Employment / Unemployment | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Anthropic / Claude | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billionaire | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Climate | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Equality / Inequality | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation / Inflationary | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| OpenAI / ChatGPT | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vaccine / Vaccination | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPERSONMENTION-26SEP21 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP