Will Bill Gates say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Bill Gates said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 72% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Sep 27, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Bill Gates
AI / Artificial Intelligence
- Probability
- 72% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
7 counted; 25 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence |  Kalshi | Yes | 7 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Bill Gates say “AI / Artificial Intelligence”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Bill Gates said “AI / Artificial Intelligence” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Sep 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Bill Gates says “AI / Artificial Intelligence” next time?
- 72%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Bill Gates: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/bill-gates/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bill-gates&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bill-gates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP