# Howard Lutnick (howard-lutnick) · tv_episode 2025-03-15 · 20 words · K k:KXLUTNICKFTNMENTION-25MAR15 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:17:50Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-03-15 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLUTNICKFTNMENTION-25MAR15 ({word} = w of K rows): If Howard Lutnick says {word} as part of on Face the Nation, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	0	0		0.31
Bitcoin	bitcoin	0	0		0.31
Canada	canada	0	0		0.31
China	china	0	0		0.31
Chuck / Schumer	chuck|schumer	0	0		0.31
Commerce	commerce	0	0		0.31
Egg	egg	0	0		0.31
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	0	0		0.31
Epstein	epstein	0	0		0.31
Israel	israel	0	0		0.31
J.D. / Vance	jd|vance	0	0		0.31
Mexico	mexico	0	0		0.31
Milk	milk	0	0		0.31
Recession	recession	0	0		0.31
Russia	russia	0	0		0.31
Shutdown / Shut down	shut down|shutdown	0	0		0.31
Tariff	tariff	0	0		0.31
Tesla	tesla	0	0		0.31
Tether	tether	0	0		0.31
Ukraine	ukraine	0	0		0.31