# Mike Johnson (mike-johnson) · presser 2025-10-03 · 15 words · K k:KXJOHNSONMENTION-25OCT03 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:18:14Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-10-03 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXJOHNSONMENTION-25OCT03 ({word} = w of K rows): If Mike Johnson says {word} as part of Press Conference on October 3rd, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	p	res
American	american	1	0	0		0.36	yes
Deal	deal	1	0	0		0.36	no
Debt	debt	1	0	0		0.36	no
Democrat	democrat	1	0	0		0.36	yes
Economy	economy	1	0	0		0.36	no
Fake News	fake new	1	0	0		0.36	no
Federal	federal	1	0	0		0.36	yes
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	1	0	0		0.36	yes
Israel	israel	1	0	0		0.36	no
Nonsense	nonsense	1	0	0		0.36	no
Schumer	schumer	1	0	0		0.36	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down (3+ times)	shut down|shutdown#3	3	0	0		0.36	yes
Thune	thune	1	0	0		0.36	yes
Trump	trump	1	0	0		0.36	yes
Woke	woke	1	0	0		0.36	no