# ESPYS (espys) · awards 2025-07-16 · 42 words · K k:KXGILLISESPYS-25JUL16 · as_of 2026-10-25T01:20:03Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-07-16 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXGILLISESPYS-25JUL16 ({word} = w of K rows): If Shane Gillis says {word} as part of Opening Monologue at the 2025 ESPYs originally scheduled for 8PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
Army	army	0	0		0.49	no
Betting	betting	0	0		0.49	no
Bieber	bieber	0	0		0.49	no
Bill Belichick	bill belichick	0	0		0.49	yes
Caitlin	caitlin	0	0		0.49	yes
Coach	coach	0	0		0.49	no
Controversy	controversy	0	0		0.49	no
Cunningham	cunningham	0	0		0.49	no
Deshaun Watson	deshaun watson	0	0		0.49	no
Diddy	diddy	0	0		0.49	no
Drake	drake	0	0		0.49	no
DUI	dui	0	0		0.49	no
Eagle	eagle	0	0		0.49	yes
Edmund fitzgerald	edmund fitzgerald	0	0		0.49	no
Elon	elon	0	0		0.49	no
Epstein	epstein	0	0		0.49	yes
File	file	0	0		0.49	no
Flagg	flagg	0	0		0.49	no
Football	football	0	0		0.49	no
Freak	freak	0	0		0.49	no
Gambling	gambling	0	0		0.49	no
Gordon Lightfoot	gordon lightfoot	0	0		0.49	no
John Cena	john cena	0	0		0.49	no
Jordon Hudson	jordon hudson	0	0		0.49	no
Lebron	lebron	0	0		0.49	no
Marine	marine	0	0		0.49	no
Massage / Massage Parlor	massage|massage parlor	0	0		0.49	no
Netflix	netflix	0	0		0.49	no
Norm Macdonald	norm macdonald	0	0		0.49	yes
Oil	oil	0	0		0.49	no
OJ / Simpson	oj|simpson	0	0		0.49	no
Olympic	olympic	0	0		0.49	no
Pennsylvania	pennsylvania	0	0		0.49	no
Philadelphia	philadelphia	0	0		0.49	no
Podcast	podcast	0	0		0.49	no
Reese	reese	0	0		0.49	no
Robert Kraft	robert kraft	0	0		0.49	no
Rookie	rookie	0	0		0.49	no
Schulz	schulz	0	0		0.49	no
Special Olympics	special olympic	0	0		0.49	no
Tires	tire	0	0		0.49	no
Trump	trump	0	0		0.49	yes