# Ron DeSantis (ron-desantis) · speech 2026-01-14 · 14 words · K k:KXDESANTISMENTION-26JAN14 · as_of 2026-10-25T22:48:07Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-14 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXDESANTISMENTION-26JAN14 ({word} = w of K rows): If Ron Desantis says {word} as part of 2026 State of the State Address, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	0	0		0.39	no
DEI / Woke	dei|woke	0	0		0.39	yes
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	0	0		0.39	yes
Fraud	fraud	0	0		0.39	no
Healthcare	healthcare	0	0		0.39	no
Hurricane	hurricane	0	0		0.39	yes
ICE / Border	border|ice	0	0		0.39	no
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	0	0		0.39	yes
Maduro / Oil	maduro|oil	0	0		0.39	no
Newsom / California	california|newsom	0	0		0.39	no
Property Tax	property tax	0	0		0.39	yes
Redistricting	redistricting	0	0		0.39	no
Tourism / Tourist	tourism|tourist	0	0		0.39	no
Trump	trump	0	0		0.39	no