# The Late Show (the-late-show-with-stephen-colbert) · tv_episode 2026-01-13 · 9 words · K k:KXCOLBERTMENTION-26JAN13 · as_of 2026-10-24T19:34:06Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-13 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXCOLBERTMENTION-26JAN13 ({word} = w of K rows): If Abigail Spanberger says {word} as part of The Late Show with Stephen Colbert, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Republican	republican	1	1	1	Y	0.42	hist	yes
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	0	0			0.33	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.23	hist	no
Greenland	greenland	1	0	0	n	0.22	hist	no
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	1	0	0	n	0.22	hist	no
Trump	trump	8	2	0.25	YnnYnnnn	0.21	hist	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	2	0	0	nn	0.19	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Maduro / Venezuela	maduro|venezuela	0	0			0.28	prior	no