# ESPYS (espys) · awards 2026-07-15 · 14 words · K k:KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15 · as_of 2026-10-24T06:37:07Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-07-15 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15 ({word} = w of K rows): If Marcello Hernández says {word} as part of 2026 ESPYS Opening Monologue , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	1	1	1	Y	0.32	hist	no
Olympic / Olympics	olympic	1	0	0	n	0.19	hist	yes
LeBron	lebron	2	0	0	nn	0.18	hist	yes
Brunson	brunson	0	0			0.22	prior	yes
Caitlin Clark	caitlin clark	0	0			0.22	prior	no
Curry	curry	0	0			0.22	prior	yes
Golf / Golfer / Golfing	golf|golfer|golfing	0	0			0.22	prior	no
Harry Kane	harry kane	0	0			0.22	prior	no
Knick / Knicks	knick	0	0			0.22	prior	yes
Messi / Ronaldo	messi|ronaldo	0	0			0.22	prior	no
Seahawks	seahawk	0	0			0.22	prior	no
SNL / Saturday Night Live	saturday night live|snl	0	0			0.22	prior	no
World Cup	world cup	0	0			0.22	prior	yes
Zohran / Mamdani	mamdani|zohran	0	0			0.22	prior	no