Citigroup (C): FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 13, 2026
On its Oct 13, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q3), Citigroup said 8 of the 14 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Clip | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banamex | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 92%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 5:38, Banamex | – |
| Buyback / Buy Back | Yes | 6 | 11 | ✓ | 87%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 6:15, Buyback / Buy Back | – |
| Custody | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 82%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 2:59, Custody | – |
| Credit Card | Yes | 2 | 3 | ✓ | 80%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 13:20, Credit Card | – |
| FICO | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 74%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 13:26, FICO | – |
| Basel 3 | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | 73%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 46:07, Basel 3 | – |
| Dividend | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 63%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 15:00, Dividend | – |
| Headwind | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 56%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | Hear it 8:30, Headwind | – |
| Inflation | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 75%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Headcount | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 73%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Tailwind | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 57%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 56%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Recession | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 19%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – | |
| Hormuz / Iran | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
2 matches for “FICO”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…credit card portfolio with approximately 86% of balances extended to consumers with FICO scores of 660 or higher, and a reserve to funded loan ratio…
…quite a bit higher, some of the marginal segments probably below the FICO band, they're going to feel a bit of pressure in terms of…
Where the listed words were said
…franchises, we closed on the sale of a 1.4% equity stake of Banamex, bringing the total amount divested so far to 49%. We're now busy…
…$4 billion to our shareholders this quarter, including $3 billion in share buybacks. We have also utilized about 900 million of our disallowed DTAs so…
…in the U.A.E. and Japan and the introduction of Custody+. Assets under custody and administration grew by 16%, and we are laser-focused on winning and…
…expectations for the fourth quarter, we now expect a full-year total U.S. Credit Cards NCL rate of around 4%, the low end of the range…
…the new set of SCB happens, and then as well as the Basel III and the G-SIB components as well. That build up between the…
…billion in buybacks and the 12% increase in our quarterly common stock dividend. We ended the quarter at 12.8% CET1 ratio under the binding standardized…
…environment, conditions did soften a bit during the third quarter. While various headwinds, most recently higher energy prices and tighter monetary policies, have been challenging,…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/citigroup:2026-10-13:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=citigroup:2026-10-13:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP