Will Citigroup say “Basel 3”?

Citigroup said “Basel 3” 1 time on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 1, 2, 0, 1, 2, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Citigroup said “Basel 3” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 14, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 73% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

73%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3Next: Earnings call, Jan 14, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
70¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Citigroup

Basel 3

Probability
73% · n=3
Settled
3/3 (100%)
Last calls
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 13, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Gonzalo Luchetticompanyqa · 46:09Hear it 46:03, Gonzalo Luchetti In transcript

…the new set of SCB happens, and then as well as the Basel III and the G-SIB components as well. That build up between the…

Erika Najariananalystqa · 36:18Hear it 36:12, Erika Najarian In transcript

…CET1 minimum of 12.1% by January 1st, 2028, is your understanding that Basel III endgame revisions and G-SIB revisions would be mostly prospective and you…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 14, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Gonzalo Luchetticompanyqa · 53:42Hear it 53:36, Gonzalo Luchetti In transcript

…a little bit. Of course, we're waiting for the finalization of the rules as it relates to Basel III, to G-SIB, and in particular, DSPV.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 14, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Gonzalo Luchetticompanyqa · 36:25Hear it 36:21, Gonzalo Luchetti In transcript

When you think about RWAs and those pieces related to Basel III, you have the components of retail and corporate credit providing a benefit, and…

Erika Najariananalystqa · 1:02:17Hear it 1:02:15, Erika Najarian In transcript

…hear more on that until next year. You've also talked about that Basel III endgame reform and G-SIB reform is fine, but hasn't gone quite…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 14, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 14, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 15, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 15, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 15, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 13, 2026Basel 3KalshiYes1
Jul 14, 2026Basel 3KalshiYes2
Apr 14, 2026Basel 3KalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Citigroup say “Basel 3” on its last earnings call?
Citigroup said “Basel 3” 1 time on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 1, 2, 0, 1, 2, 1 times.
How often does Citigroup say “Basel 3”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Citigroup said “Basel 3” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 14, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026.
What is the probability Citigroup says “Basel 3” next time?
73%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Citigroup: ‘Basel 3’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/C/words/basel-3 (CC BY 4.0)

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