Citigroup (C): FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 13, 2026

Tue, Oct 13Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptCitigroup

On its Oct 13, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q3), Citigroup said 8 of the 14 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

14 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Banamex Yes77✓92%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 5:38, Banamex–
Buyback / Buy Back Yes611✓87%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 6:15, Buyback / Buy Back–
Custody Yes66✓82%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 2:59, Custody–
Credit Card Yes23✓80%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 13:20, Credit Card–
FICO Yes22✓74%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 13:26, FICO–
Basel 3 Yes12✓73%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 46:07, Basel 3–
Dividend Yes11✓63%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 15:00, Dividend–
Headwind Yes11✓56%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 8:30, Headwind–
Inflation No00✓75%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Headcount No00✓73%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tailwind No00✓57%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tariff No00✓56%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Recession No00✓19%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Hormuz / Iran No00✓12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

3 matches for “Credit Card”; 3 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Gonzalo Luchetticompanyprepared · 13:22Hear it 13:21, Gonzalo Luchetti

We maintain a high-quality credit card portfolio with approximately 86% of balances extended to consumers with FICO scores of 660 or higher, and a reserve…

Gonzalo Luchetticompanyprepared · 24:29Hear it 24:29, Gonzalo Luchetti

…expectations for the fourth quarter, we now expect a full-year total U.S. Credit Cards NCL rate of around 4%, the low end of the range…

Matt O'Connoranalystqa · 1:06:38Hear it 1:06:37, Matt O'Connor

Hi. Wanted to ask on credit card, you've obviously been leaning in on the general purpose, and seeing good spend volume growth, good growth in…

Where the listed words were said

Jane Frasercompany“Banamex” · prepared · 5:40Hear it 5:34, Jane Fraser

…franchises, we closed on the sale of a 1.4% equity stake of Banamex, bringing the total amount divested so far to 49%. We're now busy…

Jane Frasercompany“Buyback / Buy Back” · prepared · 6:17Hear it 6:11, Jane Fraser

…$4 billion to our shareholders this quarter, including $3 billion in share buybacks. We have also utilized about 900 million of our disallowed DTAs so…

Jane Frasercompany“Custody” · prepared · 3:01Hear it 3:00, Jane Fraser

…in the U.A.E. and Japan and the introduction of Custody+. Assets under custody and administration grew by 16%, and we are laser-focused on winning and…

Gonzalo Luchetticompany“FICO” · qa · 1:01:53Hear it 1:01:47, Gonzalo Luchetti

…quite a bit higher, some of the marginal segments probably below the FICO band, they're going to feel a bit of pressure in terms of…

Gonzalo Luchetticompany“Basel 3” · qa · 46:09Hear it 46:03, Gonzalo Luchetti

…the new set of SCB happens, and then as well as the Basel III and the G-SIB components as well. That build up between the…

Gonzalo Luchetticompany“Dividend” · prepared · 15:02Hear it 14:56, Gonzalo Luchetti

…billion in buybacks and the 12% increase in our quarterly common stock dividend. We ended the quarter at 12.8% CET1 ratio under the binding standardized…

Jane Frasercompany“Headwind” · prepared · 8:32Hear it 8:31, Jane Fraser

…environment, conditions did soften a bit during the third quarter. While various headwinds, most recently higher energy prices and tighter monetary policies, have been challenging,…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/citigroup:2026-10-13:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=citigroup:2026-10-13:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP