Constellation Brands: FY27 Q2 earnings call, Oct 7, 2026

On its Oct 7, 2026 earnings call (FY27 Q2), Constellation Brands said 18 of the 31 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 31 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

31 words · 18 settled yes · our count agreed on 31 of 31

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Consumer Yes3131✓97%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 7:40, Consumer–
Beer 5+ timesYes1919✓88%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 2:19, Beer 5+ times–
Marketing Yes1515✓90%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 2:12, Marketing–
Margin Yes1313✓97%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 13:35, Margin–
Fiscal 5+ timesYes1010✓80%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 0:03, Fiscal 5+ times–
Pacifico Yes99✓87%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 2:25, Pacifico–
Distributor Yes88✓85%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 2:44, Distributor–
Victoria Yes78✓63%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 12:06, Victoria–
Inventory Yes610✓69%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 2:40, Inventory–
World Cup Yes55✓79%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 21:54, World Cup–
Football Yes55✓58%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 4:59, Football–
Inflation Yes46✓58%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 45:28, Inflation–
Shareholder Yes44✓44%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 5:27, Shareholder–
Shipment Yes33✓80%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 6:45, Shipment–
New York Yes22✓55%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 43:04, New York–
Depletion / Depletions Yes12✓82%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 2:51, Depletion / Depletions–
Mi Campo Yes11✓50%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 40:36, Mi Campo–
Dividend Yes11✓30%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 35:38, Dividend–
Alcohol 5+ timesNo22✓8%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 2:17, Alcohol 5+ times–
Wine No00✓87%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tariff No00✓75%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Especial No00✓70%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline No00✓58%transcripts from the transcript model–
Aluminum No00✓52%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Wine 5+ timesNo00✓40%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Construction No00✓23%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Mexico No00✓18%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Farm / Farmer No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Drought No00✓12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Surge No00✓12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
ICE No00✓11%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

19 matches for “Beer”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Nick Finkcompanyprepared · 2:21Hear it 2:21, Nick Fink

…the number one dollar share gainer in beverage alcohol this quarter. Our beer business outperformed and accelerated meaningfully quarter-on-quarter. Pacifico became a top 10 beer…

Peter Galboanalystqa · 6:26Hear it 6:22, Peter Galbo

…noted that a key focus in the first half was rebuilding the beer distributor inventories and I think improving days on hand, heading into 3Q.…

Garth Hankinsoncompanyqa · 16:32Hear it 16:27, Garth Hankinson

…look at the second half of the year and our expectations for beer margins, we expect to come in in the second half at 34.5%-35.5%…

Bonnie Herzoganalystqa · 19:11Hear it 19:05, Bonnie Herzog

…everyone. You continue to demonstrate disciplined capital allocation, and as the heavy beer investment cycle winds down and free cash flow inflects, how are you…

Nick Finkcompanyqa · 23:27Hear it 23:21, Nick Fink

…World Cup, because we had three times more market share gains in beer than the next best competitor, which was 400 basis points of outperformance…

Where the listed words were said

Nick Finkcompany“Consumer” · qa · 7:42Hear it 7:36, Nick Fink

…make sure that we were covering off, and keeping shelves full and consumers satisfied everywhere. But albeit with some inefficiencies as we were working hard…

Nick Finkcompany“Beer (5+)” · qa · 23:56Hear it 23:50, Nick Fink

…it is it's an opportunity to reengage consumers and younger consumers around the beer occasion, around sports. It doesn't have to be every four years.

Nick Finkcompany“Marketing” · qa · 5:33Hear it 5:30, Nick Fink

…shareholders. That's just going to come back to our evolved focus on marketing, our enhanced execution, discipline, and pushing the organization to continue to deliver.…

Nick Finkcompany“Margin” · qa · 13:37Hear it 13:31, Nick Fink

…we would have visibility to the activities that are going to drive margin and fuel for growth four years from now. With the team in…

Operatoroperator“Fiscal (5+)” · prepared · 0:05Hear it 0:02, Operator

…thank you for standing by. Greetings and welcome to the Constellation Brands Fiscal Year 2027 second quarter earnings call. At this time, all participants will…

Nick Finkcompany“Pacifico” · qa · 11:56Hear it 11:55, Nick Fink

…company's playbook is second to none, just world-class. You can see with Pacifico compounding it at something like a 20% growth rate year-to-date, as the…

Nick Finkcompany“Distributor” · prepared · 2:46Hear it 2:43, Nick Fink

…levels are healthy. We have spent much of the first half rebuilding distributor inventory levels, and while there is always going to be month-to-month variability,…

Nick Finkcompany“Victoria” · qa · 31:49Hear it 31:43, Nick Fink

…of the big ones and continue the journey of the Pacifico and Victoria, that alone will create enormous value. But that doesn't mean that there…

Garth Hankinsoncompany“Inventory” · qa · 5:55Hear it 5:51, Garth Hankinson

…about, had we not shipped to the levels we did to rebuild inventories, if we hadn't done that, we still would've come in above our…

Kaumil Gajrawalaanalyst“World Cup” · qa · 21:56Hear it 21:56, Kaumil Gajrawala

…a big step up in the first half of the year. Obviously, World Cup was part of it. I hear lots of indications from you,…

Nick Finkcompany“Football” · qa · 5:01Hear it 4:55, Nick Fink

…saw non-timing related acceleration in the month of September as our college football and other programming took place. And we are seeing a very healthy…

Nick Finkcompany“Inflation” · qa · 45:30Hear it 45:29, Nick Fink

…it's come up a couple of times now. As we think about inflation, I'd say that I'm not sure there's been a year in my…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/constellation-brands:2026-10-07:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=constellation-brands:2026-10-07:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP