Will Constellation Brands say “Tariff”?
Constellation Brands did not say “Tariff” on its Oct 7, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 4, 7, 4, 4, 11, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Constellation Brands said “Tariff” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 8, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 28¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Constellation Brands
Tariff
- Probability
- 66% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…additionally, as you saw in our materials, will have relief from aluminum tariffs this year. As it relates to beyond FY 2027, we're not prepared…
Counts: company speakers + operator
11 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 11 in Q&A).
…were a headwind in the quarter. Additional headwinds in the quarter were tariffs, as you noted, logistics and then brewery maintenance. Offsetting those headwinds, we…
…as additional assets come online or are put into service. And then tariffs will be a further headwind in Q4, really related to a couple…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…100 basis points of margin headwinds related to fixed costs and incremental tariffs. We have about 60 basis points related to keeping, as Bill just…
…the last half of the last question. Garth is going to cover the tariff, and then I will come back and answer your question, Carlos.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Constellation Brands say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- Constellation Brands did not say “Tariff” on its Oct 7, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 4, 7, 4, 4, 11, 1, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Constellation Brands say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Constellation Brands said “Tariff” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 8, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 9, 2026.
- What is the probability Constellation Brands says “Tariff” next time?
- 66%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Constellation Brands: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/STZ/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=constellation-brands&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=constellation-brands&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP