Chris Kempczinski: McDonald's Investor Day, Sep 23, 2026
At the keynote on Sep 23, 2026, Chris Kempczinski said 5 of the 16 words Kalshi listed.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delivery | Yes | 54%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Loyalty | Yes | 51%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Supply Chain | Yes | 46%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Remodel 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Red Bull | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Buyback / Buy Back | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| GLP-1 / Ozempic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hand-Breaded | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Health / Healthy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Refranchising | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Big Arch | No | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Monopoly | No | 38%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| McCafé | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Snack Wrap | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tariff | No | 32%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
No public transcript expected. McDonald's investor relations webcast (usually behind registration). The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/chris-kempczinski:2026-09-23:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=chris-kempczinski:2026-09-23:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP