NVIDIA at Goldman Sachs Communacopia, Sep 10, 2026

Thu, Sep 10KeynoteHistory onlyNVIDIA

At the keynote on Sep 10, 2026, NVIDIA said 7 of the 20 words Kalshi listed.

Part of Goldman sachs communacopia (4 appearances).

Updated

Markets

20 words · 7 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Anthropic / Claude Yes61%n=2 from settlement history–
OpenAI / ChatGPT Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Blackwell Yes55%n=2 from settlement history–
Self-driving / Autonomous Yes52%n=5 from settlement history–
Data Center Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Rubin Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
TSMC Yes36%n=4 from settlement history–
Hyperscaler No65%n=4 from settlement history–
China / Chinese No60%n=3 from settlement history–
Omniverse No57%n=6 from settlement history–
Cosmos No56%n=5 from settlement history–
Gaming No52%n=5 from settlement history–
Humanoid No41%n=4 from settlement history–
Open Source No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Hermes No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Automate / Automated / Automation No36%n=4 from settlement history–
H20 No36%n=4 from settlement history–
Domestic No31%n=4 from settlement history–
Tariff No31%n=4 from settlement history–
Trump / President No31%n=5 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.

Transcript

No public transcript expected. NVIDIA webcast at an investor conference (investor relations, usually behind registration). The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/nvidia:2026-09-10:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=nvidia:2026-09-10:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP