Will NVIDIA say “China / Chinese”?
NVIDIA said “China / Chinese” 2 times on its Aug 26, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 3, 4, 22, 13, 5, 6, 2, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, NVIDIA did not say “China / Chinese” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 16% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 23¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
NVIDIA
China / Chinese
- Probability
- 16% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…less than 1% of our total data center revenue in Hopper 200 products to customers based in China in accordance with the U.S. government licenses.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…the U.S. government has approved licenses for H200 to be shipped to China-based customers, we have yet to generate any revenue. We are uncertain whether…
…to ask you about your philosophy on growth. Your Data Center business, ex-China, grew about 120% in the quarter, and then you're guiding about 100%.…
Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
6 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…AI proportional to their GDP. While small amounts of H200 products for China-based customers were approved by the U.S. government, we have yet to generate…
…be the platform for choice for every commercial business, including those in China. We will continue to engage with the U.S. and China government and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | China / Chinese |  Kalshi | No |
| Sep 10, 2026 | China / Chinese | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How many times did NVIDIA say “China / Chinese” on its last earnings call?
- NVIDIA said “China / Chinese” 2 times on its Aug 26, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 3, 4, 22, 13, 5, 6, 2, 2 times.
- How often does NVIDIA say “China / Chinese”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, NVIDIA did not say “China / Chinese” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability NVIDIA says “China / Chinese” next time?
- 16%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “NVIDIA: ‘China / Chinese’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/NVDA/words/china-or-chinese (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nvidia&word=china%20%2F%20chinese · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nvidia&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP