Will NVIDIA say “Tariff”?
NVIDIA did not say “Tariff” on its Aug 26, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, NVIDIA did not say “Tariff” at any of the 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 13% (n=6, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 6 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 9¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
NVIDIA
Tariff
- Probability
- 13% · n=6
- Settled
- 0/6 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…of $509 million was flat sequentially and up 19% year on year. Tariff-related uncertainty temporarily impacted Q1 systems. Demand for our AI workstations is strong,…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…can improve it in the short term, we will also do that. Tariffs, at this point, it's a little bit of an unknown. It's an…
…end of the fiscal year. And we still don't know much about tariffs impact to broader semiconductor. So what kind of gives you the confidence…
Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Tariff |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Tariff | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tariff |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tariff | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 20, 2026 | Tariff | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Tariff | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Tariff | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Tariff | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did NVIDIA say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- NVIDIA did not say “Tariff” on its Aug 26, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does NVIDIA say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, NVIDIA did not say “Tariff” at any of the 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025.
- What is the probability NVIDIA says “Tariff” next time?
- 13%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “NVIDIA: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/NVDA/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nvidia&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nvidia&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP