Will NVIDIA say “Open Source”?
NVIDIA did not say “Open Source” on its Aug 26, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 3, 8, 2, 3, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, NVIDIA said “Open Source” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2026 (33%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
NVIDIA
Open Source
- Probability
- 53% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).
…with Meta now makes -- and of course, just about every single open source in the world. There's 1.5 million AI models on Hugging Face,…
…the largest, second largest, it's probably all the collection of all the open sources. And so NVIDIA's ability to run all of that makes our…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…generational leap fueled by our extreme codesign approach NVIDIA Corporation Dynamo, an open source, low latency, modular inference framework has now been adopted by every…
…world that runs every AI model. Every frontier AI model we run open source AI models incredibly well. We run science models, biology models, robotics…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
8 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A).
…LLM, and Dynamo are unlocking maximum efficiency. CUDA library contributions from the open-source community along with NVIDIA Corporation's open libraries and frameworks are now integrated…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Open Source |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Open Source | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 20, 2026 | Open Source |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did NVIDIA say “Open Source” on its last earnings call?
- NVIDIA did not say “Open Source” on its Aug 26, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 3, 8, 2, 3, 0, 0 times.
- How often does NVIDIA say “Open Source”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, NVIDIA said “Open Source” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2026 (33%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability NVIDIA says “Open Source” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “NVIDIA: ‘Open Source’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/NVDA/words/open-source (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nvidia&word=open%20source · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nvidia&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP