Intuitive Machines: FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 13, 2026

On its Aug 13, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), Intuitive Machines said 5 of the 11 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 11 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

11 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 11

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Moon Base Yes99✓39%transcripts from the transcript model–
Golden Dome Yes45✓75%transcripts from the transcript model–
SpaceX Yes44✓31%transcripts from the transcript model–
Goonhilly Earth Station Yes11✓57%transcripts from the transcript model–
Artemis IV Yes11✓42%transcripts from the transcript model–
Mars 3+ timesNo22✓75%transcripts from the transcript model–
Space Force No02✓74%transcripts from the transcript model–
Nuclear No00✓71%transcripts from the transcript model–
Artemis III No00✓54%transcripts from the transcript model–
China / Chinese No00✓44%transcripts from the transcript model–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No00✓22%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

9 matches for “Moon Base”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Steve Altemuscompanyprepared

…us to respond more quickly and deliver on our customers' timelines. NASA Moon Base is an example, an excellent example. While we begin by building…

Steve Altemuscompanyprepared

…Space Network Services contract. We continue to evolve towards production-ready landing systems and satellites in support of the rapid cadence of Moon Base missions required.

Steve Altemuscompanyprepared

…continues to advance its long-term vision for sustained lunar exploration through the Moon Base initiative. Earlier this year, we were awarded the CT-4 mission, and…

Steve Altemuscompanyprepared

…expand these capabilities through future lunar surveying, mapping, and data repository services supporting NASA's Artemis program and moonbase initiatives. Now moving to national security space.

Steve Altemuscompanyprepared

…availability, and NASA stakeholder priorities. As part of the acceleration associated with Moon Base, development continues on Altus-2 through Altus-5. We now plan to deploy…

Where the listed words were said

Steve Altemuscompany“Moon Base” · prepared

…relationships and increase recurring revenue opportunities. Whether supporting NASA's evolving moonbase, expanding national security space capabilities, enabling commercial communications, or…

Steve Altemuscompany“Golden Dome” · prepared

…were awarded an additional 18 satellites supporting AMDT3, part of the nation's Golden Dome architecture. In addition, we received ATP on an award for two…

Pete Mc Grathcompany“SpaceX” · prepared

…integration costs, and $17 million associated with the IM-4 milestone payment to SpaceX. We believe the strategic investment in the quarter has strengthened our production…

Steve Altemuscompany“Goonhilly Earth Station” · prepared

Our most recent acquisition of Goonhilly Earth Station and COMSAT expanded our ground segment communications infrastructure with globally recognized deep space ground systems that strengthen…

Steve Altemuscompany“Artemis IV” · qa

…the systems that, pardon me, all the systems that have to support Artemis IV, which is humans on the Moon in 2028. Our fully operational…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/intuitive-machines:2026-08-13:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=intuitive-machines:2026-08-13:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP